EIA STEO: World Oil Demand 2026: 104.8mln bpd (prev. 105.2mln bpd); 2027: 106.1mln bpd

The EIA's latest STEO report shows a downward revision in world oil demand for 2026, now projected at 104.8 million bpd compared to the previous 105.2 million bpd.

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EIA STEO: World Oil Demand 2026: 104.8mln bpd (prev. 105.2mln bpd); 2027: 106.1mln bpd

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World Oil Production

  • 2026: 107.7mln bpd (prev. 107.4mln bpd)
  • 2027: 108.2mln bpd

World Oil Demand

  • 2026: 104.8mln bpd (prev. 105.2mln bpd)
  • 2027: 106.1mln bpd

U.S. Oil Production

  • 2026: 13.59mln bpd (prev. 13.53mln bpd)
  • 2027: 13.25mln bpd
  • January: 13.49mln bpd (Dec. 13.52mln bpd)
  • February: 13.38mln bpd

U.S. Oil Demand

  • 2026: 20.6mln bpd (prev. 20.6mln bpd)
  • 2027: 20.7mln bpd

U.S. Natural Gas Production

  • 2026: 108.8 bcf/d (prev. 109.1 bcf/d)
  • 2027: 109.7 bcf/d
  • January: 120.2 bcf/d (Dec. 120.5 bcf/d)
  • February: 119.8 bcf/d

U.S. Natural Gas Demand

  • 2026: 90.3 bcf/d (prev. 90.8 bcf/d)
  • 2027: 90.9 bcf/d

WTI Crude Price Forecast

  • 2026: USD 52.21/bbl (prev. USD 51.42/bbl)
  • 2027: USD 50.36/bbl

Brent Crude Price Forecast

  • 2026: USD 55.87/bbl (prev. USD 55.08/bbl)
  • 2027: USD 54.02/bbl
Context

This reduction signals potential softness in the global oil market, which could impact pricing and economic growth forecasts. Furthermore, increases in production estimates, particularly from the U.S., could further pressure oil prices, indicating a growing supply surplus relative to demand expectations.

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