Monetary Auhtority of Singapore will issue its quarterly policy statement on October 14th

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Monetary Auhtority of Singapore will issue its quarterly policy statement on October 14th

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Dollar rebounds alongside yields and oil, while FOMC Minutes loom

Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves (Sep) 3.400T (Prev. 3.438T)

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Context

The MAS is unusual among major central banks in operating an exchange rate-centred regime rather than a policy rate: it steers the SGD nominal effective exchange rate band through three levers, the slope, the centre, and the width, and announces at fixed policy windows rather than continuously. The relevant precedent from past cycles is that MAS adjustments have tended to be incremental, with a re-centring or slope change carrying a distinctly stronger signal than an unchanged stance, since an explicit move is read as an official view on imported inflation persistence rather than a routine calibration. In episodes where regional inflation has run ahead of domestic growth, the bias has been toward slope steepening; where growth concern dominates, flattening or neutrality. What the statement will draw attention to is the language on core inflation and the growth-inflation trade-off, and whether the accompanying macroeconomic review shifts its assessment of the output gap. The follow-on calendar is the post-statement analyst read-through and any shift in the consensus on whether the next window brings an actual parameter change. As a scheduled calendar item, this headline carries no new information itself.

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