ECB's de Guindos says the ECB is at inflation target, but uncertainty remains very high

ECB Vice President de Guindos affirming the central bank is at its inflation target indicates a potential pause in tightening, but the emphasis on high uncertainty suggests that future policy decisions remain precarious.

Newsquawk StaffPublished 8 Jan 2026, 09:05 UTCOn the live feed at 08:45 UTC — 11 more headlines followed before this page went public

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09:00

Bulgarian Retail Sales MoM (Nov) M/M -0.4% vs. Exp. -0.5% (Prev. 1.0% )

08:52

India's Foreign Ministry reportedly intends to remove restrictions on Chinese firms bidding for government contracts, according to sources

08:45

ECB's de Guindos says the ECB is at inflation target, but uncertainty remains very high

08:34

[MARKET UPDATE] Fixed benchmarks continue to move lower with USTs (112-15) and Bunds (127.91) at or towards session lows; pressure which coincides with a slight pick-up in sentiment

08:31

SNB Minutes: Governing Board confirmed that it remains willing to be active in the foreign exchange market as necessary; Board will continue to monitor the situation closely and adjust monetary policy if necessary

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Context

This mixed message might lead to cautious positioning in fixed income markets, as traders weigh the likelihood of future rate adjustments depending on evolving economic conditions.

Central Banks · last 90 days

Recent headlines that moved markets

CENTRAL BANKS/20 Aug · 07:30 UTC

Riksbank maintains its rate at 1.75% as expected; assesses that the probability of a rate increase later this year remains; there is considerable uncertainty and developments call for vigilance

Market, after we published+0.3%

SEK was little changed after the announcement was broadly as expected; EUR/SEK moved higher from 11.01 to a peak of 11.02. Ten minutes post-announcement, EUR/SEK moves a little higher, moving to a peak just below 11.03.

CENTRAL BANKS/13 Aug · 08:00 UTC

Norges Bank maintains its rate at 4.25% as expected; may still become necessary to raise the policy rate

Market, after we published+0.6%

CENTRAL BANKS/12 Aug · 09:07 UTC

The PBoC is to conduct overnight reverse repos on August 14th and between August 17th-19th

FX/9 Sept · 15:01 UTC

US Treasury Buyback: Treasury to buy back a maximum of USD 6bln in 10-20year Treasuries on Thursday (vs guidance for at least USD 4bln).

USD/JPY, after we published+0.4%

ENERGY/8 Sept · 19:50 UTC

Iran launched an attack against US Navy ships on Monday that the US military has yet to acknowledge, WSJ reports, citing US officials.

Brent crude, after we published+0.8%

EQUITIES/8 Sept · 05:24 UTC

Saudi Energy Minister says a number of energy facilities and utilities were hit; are temporarily halting some operations.

Equity indices, after we published−0.3%

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